Mark Blumenthal and Natalie Jackson of Huffpost Pollster write: If you read polls in the news, you’re probably familiar with the term “margin of error.” What ...

Why do pollsters make such a big deal about probability sampling? You'd think that choosing people to interview should be easy. Take three of these, four of those, and two of the other. But it's not.

The method, called Verbalized Sampling (VS), helps models like GPT-4, Claude, and Gemini produce more diverse and human-like ...

Recent years have seen an increasing interest in probability sampling, and some proponents of the method have urged its use in public opinion surveys. This article reports on a comparative study of ...

The problem of estimating the variance of the ratio estimator in sampling with probability proportional to aggregate size is investigated. The form of nonnegative unbiased variance estimators is found ...

The COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 38 million people around the world and is showing no signs of going away any time soon. Researchers worldwide are frantically working on developing an effective ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

The nuts and bolts of our public opinion surveys. A summary of ABC News' polling standards and survey methodology follows. ABC News maintains standards for disclosure, validity, reliability and ...